What to Know Ahead of NVIDIA's Q1 Earnings
Posted:NVIDIA Corporation, a global leader in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI) technology, is set to announce its first-quarter earnings, a highly anticipated event in the tech sector. As a powerhouse in the semiconductor industry, NVIDIA's performance often serves as a barometer for the broader market, influencing investor sentiment and industry trends.
With its innovative products and robust ecosystem, NVIDIA's earnings report not only reflects its own financial health but also provides insights into the state of the gaming, data center, and AI sectors. In this article, we delve into the factors shaping NVIDIA's first-quarter earnings and explore what investors should watch out for in this crucial update from one of the most influential companies in the tech landscape.
Highlights
- NVIDIA is poised to announce its earnings for the fiscal first quarter of 2025 on 22nd May 2024 at 2:00 PM PT.
- Investors are expected to focus on the performance of NVIDIA's data center segment, which significantly contributed to the company's earnings in the previous quarter.
In the previous earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang highlighted the significance of AI reaching a 'tipping point', which sparked substantial discussion. With NVIDIA's recent GTC conference in March exploring various future prospects, traders will now likely respond to news not yet factored into the stock price. This includes considerations such as growth prospects, sustaining its dominant market position, levels of capital expenditure, and upcoming partnerships.
NVIDIA shares saw a slight increase early on 13th May trading following significant price target adjustments by two analysts for the AI technology giant. This comes ahead of the eagerly awaited first-quarter earnings report scheduled for May 22.
Data Center Performance: A Key Metric for NVIDIA
Nvidia's data center revenue jumped to $18.4 billion a whooping 409% increase on a YoY basis. Importantly, more than half of Nvidia's data center sales were attributed to large cloud providers.
Blackwell Platform
At the GTC conference in March, NVIDIA introduced the NVIDIA Blackwell platform, which offers generative AI capabilities on trillion-parameter large language models (LLMs) with significantly reduced cost and energy consumption compared to the NVIDIA Hopper architecture. Blackwell's unveiling holds immense potential for AI workloads, with its technological prowess extending to various scientific computing applications, including conventional numerical simulation.
The implications of Blackwell are profound, as it not only enhances the efficiency of AI tasks but also facilitates groundbreaking discoveries across scientific computing realms. Through decreased energy expenditures, accelerated computing and AI are driving sustainable computing practices. Already, numerous scientific computing applications are reaping the benefits, with weather simulations experiencing a 200x reduction in costs and a 300x decrease in energy consumption. Similarly, digital twin simulations exhibit a remarkable 65x cost reduction and 58x lower energy consumption compared to traditional CPU-based systems and similar alternatives.
During the launch event, CEO Jensen Huang clarified to investors that Blackwell is not just a chip; rather, it is an entire platform. While acknowledging the excellence of Hopper, he emphasized the necessity for larger GPUs to meet evolving demands.
HSBC analyst Frank Lee highlighted NVIDIA's capacity to harness pricing power with the introduction of the new GB200 platform. Consequently, he raised his price target on Nvidia by $300 to $1,350 per share.
GB200 Platform: Pricing Overview
Lee estimates that the overall pricing for the GB200 platform falls within the range of $60,000 to $70,000 per server, which is double the cost of a stand-alone B100 processor, ranging from $30,000 to $35,000. He anticipates that this server-rack pricing could contribute to Nvidia's revenue potential for the next fiscal year, ending in January 2026, reaching $196 billion.
The stock of NVIDIA (NVDA) has experienced a remarkable surge, surpassing an 86% increase in value since the beginning of the year. This surge has resulted in the addition of over $1 trillion in market capitalization. Investors are recalibrating their earnings and revenue projections, recognizing NVIDIA's dominant role in the market for processors fueling artificial intelligence applications.
Nvidia is set to release its first-quarter earnings for fiscal 2025 after the market closes on May 22.
Sources:
Fund Risk
This website and its content has been provided by GraniteShares.
Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses carefully before investing. For a prospectus or summary prospectus with this and other information about the Funds, please call (844) 476 8747 or click here. Read the prospectus or summary prospectus carefully before investing.
The Fund is not suitable for all investors. The investment program of the funds is speculative, entails substantial risks and includes asset classes and investment techniques not employed by most other ETFs and mutual funds. Investments in the ETFs are not bank deposits and are not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. The Fund is designed to be utilized only by knowledgeable investors who understand the potential consequences of seeking daily leveraged (2 X) investment results, understand the risks associated with the use of leveraged exposure and are willing to monitor their portfolios frequently. For periods longer than a single day, the Fund will lose money if the Underlying Stock’s performance is flat, and it is possible that the Fund will lose money even if the Underlying Stock’s performance increases over a period longer than a single day. An investor could lose the full principal value of his/her investment within a single day.
The Fund seeks daily leveraged investment results and are intended to be used as short-term trading vehicles. This Fund attempts to provide daily investment results that correspond to the respective leveraged of the performance of its underlying stock (a leveraged Fund).
Investors should note that the fund pursues daily leveraged investment objectives, which means that the fund is riskier than alternatives that do not use leverage because the fund magnifies the performance of their underlying security. The volatility of the underlying security may affect a Fund’s return as much as, or more than, the return of the underlying security.
Because of daily rebalancing and the compounding of each day’s return over time, the return of the Fund for periods longer than a single day will be the result of each day’s returns compounded over the period, which will very likely differ from 200% of the return of the Underlying Stock over the same period. The Fund will lose money if the Underlying Stock’s performance is flat over time, and as a result of daily rebalancing, the Underlying Stock volatility and the effects of compounding, it is even possible that the Fund will lose money over time while the Underlying Stock's performance increases over a period longer than a single day.
An investment in the Fund involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The Fund is non-diversified and includes risks associated with the Fund concentrating its investments in a particular industry, sector, or geographic region which can result in increased volatility. The use of derivatives such as futures contracts and swaps are subject to market risks that may cause their price to fluctuate over time. Risks of the Fund include effects of Compounding and Market Volatility Risk, Inverse Risk, Market Risk, Counterparty Risk, Rebalancing Risk, Intra-Day Investment Risk, Daily Index Correlation Risk, Other Investment Companies (including ETFs) Risk, and risks specific to the securities of the Underlying Stock and the sector in which it operates. These and other risks can be found in the prospectus.
Underlying Stock Risk: The Underlying Stock is subject to many risks that can negatively impact its revenue and viability including, but are not limited to price volatility risk, management risk, inflation risk, global economic risk, growth risk, supply and demand risk, operations risk, regulatory risk, environmental risk, terrorism risk and the risk of natural disasters. The Underlying Stock objectives may be affected by its ability to develop and launch new products, the growth of its sales and delivery capabilities, part supplier constraints or delays, consumer demand for electric vehicles and competition from existing and competitors. The Fund’s daily returns may be affected by many factors but will depend on the performance and volatility of the Underlying Stock.
Derivatives Risk: The use of derivative instruments involves risks different from, or possibly greater than, the risks associated with investing directly in securities and other traditional investments. These risks include (i) the risk that the counterparty to a derivative transaction may not fulfill its contractual obligations; (ii) risk of mispricing or improper valuation; and (iii) the risk that changes in the value of the derivative may not correlate perfectly with the underlying asset, rate or index. Derivative prices are highly volatile and may fluctuate substantially during a short period of time. Such prices are influenced by numerous factors that affect the markets, including, but not limited to: changing supply and demand relationships; government programs and policies; national and international political and economic events, changes in interest rates, inflation and deflation and changes in supply and demand relationships. Trading derivative instruments involves risks different from, or possibly greater than, the risks associated with investing directly in securities.
For Long Funds: Leverage Risk: The Funds obtain investment exposure in excess of their net assets by utilizing leverage and may lose more money in market conditions that are adverse to their investment objective than a fund that does not utilize leverage. Investments in the Funds are exposed to the risk that a decline in the daily performance of their Underlying Stock will be magnified. This means that an investment in the Funds will be reduced by an amount equal to (i) 1.25% for every 1% daily decline in the Underlying Stock for a Fund with Leverage Factor of 1.25, (ii) 2% for every 1% daily decline in the Underlying Stock for a Fund with a Leverage Factor of 2, not including the costs of financing leverage and other operating expenses, which would further reduce the Funds’ values. The Funds could theoretically lose an amount greater than their net assets in the event the Underlying Stock declines more than (i) 80% for a Fund with a Leverage Factor of 1.25, (ii) 100% for a Fund with a Leveraged Factor of 2. Leverage will also have the effect of magnifying any differences in the Fund performance’s correlation with their Underlying Stocks.
For Short Funds: Short Sale Risk: The Funds will seek inverse or “short” exposure through financial instruments, which would cause the Funds to be exposed to certain risks associated with selling short. These risks include, under certain market conditions, an increase in the volatility and decrease in the liquidity of the instruments underlying the short position, which may lower the Funds’ returns, result in losses, have the effect of limiting the Funds’ ability to obtain inverse exposure through financial instruments , or require the Funds to seek inverse exposure through alternative investment strategies that may be less desirable or more costly to implement. To the extent that, at any particular point in time, the instruments underlying the short position may be thinly traded or have a limited market, including due to regulatory action, the Funds may be unable to meet their investment objective due to a lack of available securities or counterparties. During such periods, the Funds’ ability to issue additional Creation Units may be adversely affected. Obtaining inverse exposure through these instruments may be considered an aggressive investment technique. Any income, dividends or payments by any assets underlying the Funds’ short positions, if any, would negatively impact the Funds. The Funds could theoretically lose an amount greater than their net assets in the event the Underlying Stock increases more than (i) 100% for Short Fund with a Leverage Factor equal to -1x, and (ii) 50% for a Short Fund with a Leverage Factor equal to -2x.
For Long Funds: Compounding Risk: The Funds aim to replicate the leveraged daily returns of an Underlying Stock and the Funds’ performance for periods greater than a trading day will be the result of each day’s returns compounded over the period, which is very likely to differ from the Underlying Stock’s performance, before fees and expenses. Compounding affects all investments but has a more significant impact on funds that aims to replicate leverage daily returns. The Funds aim to replicate the leveraged daily performance of an Underlying Stock, and if the adverse daily performance of the Underlying Stock reduces the amount of a shareholder’s investment, any further adverse daily performance will lead to a smaller dollar loss because the shareholder’s investment had already been reduced by the prior adverse performance. Equally, however, if the favorable daily performance of the Underlying Stock increases the amount of a shareholder’s investment, the dollar amount lost due to future adverse performance will increase because the shareholder’s investment has increased.
For Short Funds: Compounding Risk: The Funds aim to replicate the daily inverse returns of an Underlying Stock and the Funds’ performance for periods greater than a trading day will be the result of each day’s returns compounded over the period, which is very likely to differ from the Underlying Stock’s performance, before fees and expenses. Compounding affects all investments but has a more significant impact on funds that aims to replicate inverse daily returns. For a Fund aiming to replicate the inverse performance of an Underlying Stock, if adverse daily performance of the Underlying Stock reduces the amount of a shareholder’s investment, any further adverse daily performance will lead to a smaller dollar loss because the shareholder’s investment had already been reduced by the prior adverse performance. Equally, however, if a favorable daily performance of the Underlying Stock increases the amount of a shareholder’s investment, the dollar amount lost due to future adverse performance will increase because the shareholder’s investment has increased.
Shares are bought and sold at market price (not NAV) and are not individually redeemed from the ETF. There can be no guarantee that an active trading market for ETF shares will develop or be maintained, or that their listing will continue or remain unchanged. Buying or selling ETF shares on an exchange may require the payment of brokerage commissions and frequent trading may incur brokerage costs that detract significantly from investment returns.
A liquid secondary market may not exist for the types of commodity-linked derivative instruments the Fund buys, which may make it difficult for the Fund to sell them at an acceptable price. The Fund is new with no operating history. As a result, there can be no assurance that the Fund will grow to or maintain an economically viable size, in which case it could ultimately liquidate.
Because the Funds may effect redemptions principally for cash, rather than in-kind distributions, an investment in Funds’ shares may be less tax efficient than investments in shares of conventional ETFs, and there may be a substantial difference in the after-tax rate of return between the Funds and conventional ETFs.
The Funds may engage in frequent trading of derivatives. Active and frequent trading may lead to the realization and distribution to shareholders of higher short-term capital gains, which would increase their tax liability. Frequent trading also increases transaction costs, such as commissions, which could detract from the Funds’performance.
This information is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy shares of any Funds to any person in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
THE FUNDS AREDISTRIBUTED BY ALPS DISTRIBIUTORS, INC. GRANITESHRES IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH ALPS DISTRIBUTORS, INC
© Copyright 2024 GraniteShares Inc. All rights reserved. GraniteShares, GraniteShares ETFs, and the GraniteShares logo are registered and unregistered trademarks of GraniteShares Inc., in the United States and elsewhere. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.